"Undermining my electoral viability since 2001."

It Was A Beautiful Day in SF

Doing good out here. Things are in motion. I have transit arrangements from Oakland to NYC on the 15th (arriving butt-ass early on the 16th) and from Boston back on the 19th of May. I may bounce back between now and then, but the only certainty is to see my sister graduate from college, then return to this coast to load up for the road.

On that front, Luke got a truck. Off e-bay. Oh yeah. He's flying to Phoenix, AZ next weekend to pick it up and drive it back. The weekend of the 12th/13th we'll drive it up to Westhaven where it will be stored until May.

Things are shaping up. I spent the night in the Sunset with Carrie -- watched Eddie Izzard and had some ice cream -- and today instead of rushing home to work as I'd planned I took off through Golden Gate park on what turned out to be a nice three-hour ride through the swankier parts of SF.

In spite of my obvious hunger to leave, I'll miss this place; looking forward to a nice long goodbye.

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Voting Works Out In Iraq, But The Proof Is In The Pudding

The vote in Iraq seems to have gone as good as anyone could have expected, and better than pessimists predicted. That's cool. You can't knock democracy, even in its protoplasmic form. Chris Albriton has his observations from the street.

I'm inclined to point out that in spite of a fair amount of polling day violence ("a few dozen deaths" the wires report), the actual machenery of balloting seems to work better in the middle of a warzone than in fucking Ohio:

The predicted low turnout in Anbar, a hotspot of Sunni resistance to the American occupation, was exceeded to such an extent that extra voting materials had to be rushed to outlying villages, where long lines were formed at polling stations, Mr. Ayar said.

What a novel idea! When long lines form, extra voting materials are rushed to the spot of trouble. Polls close on time, no one walks away. In Ohio this year, people waited until 4 in the goddamn morning to vote.

Not to get off on a tangent, but Kenneth Blackwell should go to prison. I'm deadly serious. He should be put in a public stockade and grade school children should be bussed in from far and wide to pummel him with rotten fruit as a lesson in civics. However, since his tactic helped put his bosses over the top, he's more likely to get heavy backing in his run for Governor 2006, shades of his predicessor Katherine Harris.

Anyway, bully for Iraq on having a relatively orderly election. The question is whether the government elected will be able to siginificantly improve things. I think progress is going to continue to be slow, and hinges on whether or not the Sunni population will consider this government legitimate. If so, then there's hope. If not, then I don't see much light at the end of the tunnel.

As for us and our Troops; we'll keep spending billions and loosing thousands every year for a while yet, I think. The major question here is whether or not the Insurgents momentum is dulled by the elections, and whether or not they are able to secure access to more powerful arms. The weakness of the US Occupation is its supply lines, and if they are able to find a way to bring down our air transports -- e.g. if this starts happening with any regularity -- we'll be in serious trouble.

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Back to Iraq 3.0: Desperation or Hope?

Chris Albriton has been an independent reporter in and out of Iraq for almost two years now. His is a set of opinions I have come to trust. With elections there tomorrow, I take his predictions with some stock. Why? Because he writes it as he sees it:

BAGHDAD—Tomorrow Iraqis will go to the polls and, inshallah, get a better government that they have right now... Eventually. But first they will have to vote, and that's an activity fraught with peril.

The security situation is unreal. No cars tomorrow—except those with special passes, which includes media, cops, political guys, etc. in short, if you're an insurgent and you hit a car tomorrow, you're bound to get someone vaguely important. Only five polling stations in Baghdad will allow cameras or other electronic gear, so bear that in mind when you look at photographs of the election.

I'll be out in the thick of it for a while at least... Out with my photographer and seeing what goes on. Not sure if I'll be driving or walking. That will depend on my security guys. This is a free election? Insurgent pamphlets are being distributed that anyone walking to a polling center is a target. Several centers have already been blown up. The fear is thick enough to cut with a knife. The Iraqi security forces—with their American patrons—have tanks at the end of my street. Old Soviet T-55s, but tanks, nonetheless.

No one knows what's going to happen, whether it's the level of violence, the level of turnout or who will win. The Sistani-blessed United Iraqi Alliance (UIA) list is expected to do well, but I would be shocked if it got an absolute majority. My predictions for the elections...

Like I said, he writes it as he sees it. As Mike pointed out, he works for Time also. I know this. The only restrictions on his blog are that he can't scoop himself. For instance, when he interviewed Allawi, he didn't blog about it until after the relevant issue of Time came out, at which point he posted a much more lengthy transcrip than was published on paper. The whole point of what he's doing has been to provide better "context" and, since he started working as part of the regular reporter pool, to talk about the State of Journalism in a war zone.

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PostSecret

PostSecret

You send a postcard that contains a secret; they scan and put on their blog. Cool use of the medium for art. There are some really interesting things going on online in the realm of confession, secrets, etc.

This ties into why I think the net might support (finance, popularize) a new kind of live performance. It's a ways away from being big enough business to support many people, maybe a decade or so, but I think its coming. The current aesthetics of technology are going to change as more and more people figure out how to make shit. I'm just waiting for someone to work out a $200 linux-based system that's essentially a communications and e-commerce platform. That will kick some ass.

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