"Undermining my electoral viability since 2001."

Media Bias: Bogus

Bob Felton's Civil Commotion is a blog I discovered doing a little technorati-surfing just now. I'm intrigued because the author is clearly a conservative, but clearly a thinking one. He wrote a really great post (actually, a bunch) about the current right-to-die case that's got everyone's attention.

So after approvingly linking to the above, and hopeful because of the very reasonable content, I'm going to dispute another post and use the ol' trackback. Maybe we can get a little cross-blog debate going. Here's an old movement-conservative saw I'd like to take a crack at:

Oh, yeah, that bias

The Columbia School of Journalism has just released a study which finds — GASP! — that news stories were slanted anti-Bush 3-times more often than slanted anti-Kerry during the 2004 election.

My prediction: The MSM will roll their eyes, insist it isn’t so, and continue to wonder where their readers are going.

It’s evolution at work, right in front of our eyes; non-adapters die.

It's fun to bash the MainStream Media and all, but I have serious doubts about the study in question. A look at the footnotes reveals the following:

The analysis of election coverage begins after March 1 (Super Tuesday) after John Kerry emerged as the all-but-official Democratic candidate. The cross-media comparisons of campaign coverage included stories focused at least 50% on one candidate or the other so that deriving a sense of tone about the candidate was logical. Those totaled 250 stories. The findings, moreover, reinforce what the Project found in a separate study that looked at tone in the final month of the campaign, surrounding the debates, and in a pre-convention study using a different methodology that mapped coverage of different character themes about the candidates.

This is highly problematic. Looking at a total of 250 stories in an eight-month timespan in which a 24-hour news cycle is at work is hardly a scientifically significant sample. There's no actual data given about the separate studies referenced, and it's also unclear from the footnotes what sources these 250 stories came from, as they were apparently not drawn from the same sample as the much broader study of the war coverage (which included 10x as many stories).

And then there's this:

The findings on tone also mirror those of Robert Lichter and the Center on Media and Public Affairs, which employs a different approach to studying tone.

Robert Lichter is a conservative activist, and the CMPA (while claiming non-partisan tax-exempt status) is a well known conservative organ with an agenda of hostility to environmentalism and consumer's rights. Their "scientific" the metrics for determining a "positive" or "negative" attitude are notoriously bogus, and Lichter has been pushing to discredit the press as liberally-biased and "elite" for more than two decades. The fact that he was cited as a supporting example raises many more questions about this study than it answers.

Furthermore, the study's small sample of stories voids the impact of contextualization, and clearly didn't take into account the influence of anchor-opinion, which is widely understood as having as much (or more) impact on public sentiment than individual press reports themselves. In fact, when Bob remarks that the MSM will continue to wonder "where their readers go," he fails to complete the loop which is that more and more people turn to opinionated columnists and news-roundup anchors (and, yes, bloggers) not for raw information, but more importantly for meaning.

To bring it on home, I'm as upset with the state of journalism and the media as anyone, but the idea that there's a "liberal bias" at work is crap. It's a documented revolutionary tactic designed to discredit sources of information that are hostile to movement conservativism. It's part of a conscious strategy that has been at work for decades, and the fact that intelligent and moral people still fall for it is a testiment to how well Trotskyite tactics have worked for the radical right.

If there's a bias in the mainstream media it's towards mediocrity, towards compacency, towards consumption, towards business as usual. I agree that there's an information revolution coming, but the reasons for this revolution have to do with the unaccountability of the media establishment -- note this is different from "elitism" -- how easily the press corps can be manipulated, and how poorly the current state of journalism fulfills its role of guarding the public interest against the private. The answer isn't a more partisan media or a more "balanced" media, it's a more inquisitive and truthful one which concerns itself not just with telling two sides of the story, but in finding out which one is right.

An honest media with a driving sense of public service would likely still be imbalanced in covering a presidential election. But it's hard to accuse the facts of bias.

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Republicans Win A Round

A few days ago, I thought we had 'em. The credit card/bankrupcy bill and ANWR oil drilling passed the Senate and the House was sinking ever lower into the gurgling ethics scandal that has been brewing there ever since Tom Delay and his cohort started enacting procedural changes to cement the dominance of their 1994 "Contract With America," which was itself driven in large part by perceved ethical weakness on the opposite side of the isle.

I thought we had 'em. A wedge issue; a clear rallying point for the political base; a high-road means of attacking some of the most powerful figures in the GOP machine... and then they trotted out a (literally, not pejoratively) brain-dead woman from Florida, and everyone forgot about all that other shit.

This is a classic move, and politically very shrewd. Here's an issue that few Democrats have a solid opposition stance to (hint: it's here and here, folks), and which splits their caucus. Here's an issue that provides ready TV images, with the heightened emotional charge of "a life hanging in the balance."

Yes. You can see the logic. Here's something to take everyone's mind off the fact that there's solid proof that Tom Delay is crooked. Pay no attention to the fact that our Senate just voted to let unrestrained usury be business as usual in the credit card industry. Forget that as part of the overall budgeting process, Senate republicans have succeeded in opening up one of the last pristine stretches of American territory to petrochemical companies in the vain delusion that this will somehow make up for our lack of a coherant energy problem. Let's get back to the real issue, one vegitative woman in Florida and the lack of a solid moral message from the Democratic party.

Oh yeah; and it's the two year anneversary of the war. That's still happening, remeber?

The Republican Noise Machine is a powerful entity. The good guys won a round on Social Security, and I like to think I had a little part in that, but the volly has now been returned with plenty of topspin. How the Democrats handle what comes next is important. Once the pressure is off, if the GOP is able to build any momentum it will be hard to get it back. Someone on the left is going to need to go on the offensive pretty soon, or else driving at all the real issues is going to be more difficult.

A week ago, I thought we had 'em, and in the Long Game we very well might. But the ease with which everything was shifted is alarming. If the Democrats want to recapture the House (and they can) they need a strategy for a full-court-press. It's not fucking complecated; just a lot of work. I'll have more on this later.

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The Old Stuff (Navelgazing Alert)

I had an interesting bit of conversation on Thursday with Kate before getting too blotto. She was saying how a friend has gotten to like reading my website. "But he never posts anything anymore," she said. "I found the old stuff," was the reply.

The old stuff. Yeah. It was a different kind of scene then. There was a time when this was really a diary and the politics and news stuff went somewhere else. Then my life changed, and so did the diary; the politics came in, in a very conventional kind of way, I might add. It was good for a while, and then I got very busy and my life -- for the most part -- became very boring, my thoughts specific and narrow. I worked in a cubicle. I slept in a bare-walled room.

And now things are in play again. The reformation is still coming. The trip is going to be a kind of new level. I wonder about how to look again at mixing the personal, the political, the poetic and the imaginary. A new blend. Simplicy, focus.

I'm not really a great "blogger" in the sense of the form of finding neat things online and sending people links. I'm not a voracious enough consumer of web media for that. I'm more of a diarist, writer and sometime essayist. The setup is taking form. I have some good stories to tell.

It will be more like the old stuff.

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Preachafy!

Sterling Newberry :: So We Want A Revolution

Let us begin from the obvious truth: there are a billion people who seek to join the affluent society, primarily in China. Our current means of extracting this life from the fruits of the earth requires oil. Right now, the developed world outside of the United States supports 500 million people on 25% of the world's capacity for oil. A simple multiplication - there are 6 billions in the world - means that we would have to produce 3 barrels of oil for every one we produce today. There is no such capacity available, and even if it were, the pollution would cook the world and flood almost every ancient capital and booming new metropolis on the planet. This is the overwhelming fact from which there is no escape, not in this world, nor to any other: we cannot support the population of the world at a tolerable standard of living with the society and technology we have. The economy we have is inadequeate to the challenges we face.

Sterling is one of those people who really shows you where the relationship between eccentricity and genius lies. I like his writing quite a lot, even if -- like the rest of us -- he could use an editor from time to time. This whole piece is worth reading and thinking about.

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